Friday 15 Podcast

Does the Q4 Holiday Peak Matter in B2B eCommerce?

Brian Beck and Andy Hoar examine whether Black Friday and Cyber Monday impact B2B sales, finding that 78% of practitioners believe Q4 consumer shopping peaks do affect B2B ecommerce.

Friday 15 Podcast

Key takeaways

  • The Cyber 5 in 2023 set records with $38 billion in total sales, a 7.8% year-over-year increase, and eMarketer projects similar growth for 2024 with approximately 9.5% growth over 2023.
  • A Master B2B poll found 63% of practitioners believe Cyber 5 grows B2B ecommerce sales, while a 2024 LinkedIn poll showed 78% believe Q4 holiday peaks impact B2B.
  • Approximately 70% of US companies use a calendar fiscal year, creating year-end budget pressures that drive Q4 purchasing regardless of holiday promotions.
  • Amazon Business runs deals and promotions during the holiday season to support businesses looking to restock, upgrade, or prepare for their own holiday demands.
  • The spillover from consumer marketing creates inevitable B2B opportunity because B2B buyers are also consumers being primed for deals during this period.

Distribution companies shift spending from trade shows

MDM released research showing distribution companies are spending less on industry events and more on digital media. The hosts noted that regional and niche events continue to grow, where people seek local connections and specific expertise. Broad industry events struggle unless they are very large or very focused. This shift reflects how the new B2B buyer researches and learns about products online rather than at physical trade shows.

Consumer holiday numbers keep climbing

The Cyber 5 in 2023 set records with $38 billion in total sales, a 7.8% year-over-year increase. Cyber Monday was the biggest online shopping day ever in the United States, with shoppers spending $15.7 million every minute. eMarketer projects approximately 9.5% growth for 2024, estimating $266 billion in November and December retail ecommerce sales. The hosts noted that 24% of consumers had already started shopping by early October, and 81% of consumers are looking for deals and discounts during the holiday period.

Budget cycles drive year-end purchases

The hosts questioned whether B2B holiday purchasing reflects holiday marketing or simply fiscal year budget cycles. Justin Rinaldi from Safety Speed Manufacturing noted that his company sees a slight sales increase during the holiday period primarily because smaller businesses have use-it-or-lose-it funds at year end. Research indicates approximately 70% of US companies use a calendar fiscal year, especially common among smaller companies without significant seasonal variations in their business.

We see a slight increase in sales during the holiday period primarily because a lot of smaller businesses have use-it-or-lose-it funds.

Justin Rinaldi, Safety Speed Manufacturing

Amazon Business runs B2B holiday promotions

Amazon Business runs deals and promotions during the holiday season. The hosts noted that while these promotions are not as heavily marketed as consumer deals, they aim to support businesses looking to restock, upgrade, or prepare for their own holiday demands. Global Industrial ran a Cyber Monday sale offering 20% off, extended to Friday. This puts pressure on traditional distributors to match these promotions or risk losing wallet share to digital competitors.

Category determines impact

Ben Guay from Caterpillar noted that while some North American dealers put offers out during Q4, the results have been insignificant for heavy equipment. The hosts agreed that a $300,000 backhoe is not going to be affected by Cyber Monday promotions. However, adjacent product categories and consumables may see more impact. Dan Stepchew from Zest Dental Solutions integrates winter sales across all channels including their website, email, SMS, social media, and sends promotions to sales reps to help close deals and pull forward repeat orders.

Attention economics drive spillover

Andy argued the holiday period creates inevitable spillover because it commands attention. The Super Bowl analogy applies: whether you watch football or not, you cannot be unaffected by such a large event. B2B buyers are also consumers, and when they are primed to expect deals from Amazon for personal purchases, that expectation carries over to professional purchasing. Companies like Home Depot straddle both worlds, selling to consumers and contractors simultaneously.

Whether you like it or not, you have to think about it. I think that’s where B2B is with regard to the holiday season. It’s just such a large event that you’d be almost foolish not to try and take advantage of it if you can.

Andy Hoar, Master B2B

Most practitioners see an impact

A Master B2B LinkedIn poll asked whether Q4 holiday peaks in consumer shopping impact B2B ecommerce. The results showed 78% said yes, while 22% said no impact at all. The hosts concluded that B2B companies should examine their specific category, watch competitors, and consider the budget cycle dynamics that may be the primary driver rather than holiday sentiment itself.

Frequently asked questions

Does Black Friday and Cyber Monday affect B2B ecommerce sales?

According to a Master B2B LinkedIn poll, 78% of B2B practitioners believe Q4 holiday peaks in consumer shopping do impact B2B ecommerce. The hosts noted several factors driving this: B2B buyers are also consumers conditioned to expect deals, budget cycles often end in December creating use-it-or-lose-it pressure, and major B2B retailers like Amazon Business and Global Industrial run promotions during this period.

Why do B2B companies see increased sales during the holiday period?

Justin Rinaldi from Safety Speed Manufacturing explained that his company sees a slight sales increase during the holiday period primarily because smaller businesses have use-it-or-lose-it funds at year end. Approximately 70% of US companies use a calendar fiscal year, according to IRS and SEC filings, so budget pressure at year end drives purchasing independent of holiday marketing.

Is Amazon Business running holiday promotions?

Yes. According to the hosts, Amazon Business runs deals and promotions during the holiday season to support businesses looking to restock, upgrade, or prepare for their own holiday demands. While these promotions are not as heavily marketed as consumer deals, they exist and put competitive pressure on traditional distributors like Grainger and Fastenal to match them.

Should B2B companies run Cyber Monday promotions?

The hosts suggest looking at your specific category. Caterpillar, for example, found that putting offers out during Q4 had insignificant results for high-value capital equipment. However, companies selling consumables, MRO supplies, or products that compete with retail alternatives face competitive pressure to participate. Dan Stepchew from Zest Dental Solutions integrates winter sales across all channels including their website, email, SMS, and social media.

What percentage of purchases are influenced by holiday promotions in B2B?

The research is mixed. A 2023 Master B2B poll found 63% of practitioners said Cyber 5 affects B2B ecommerce sales. The more recent 2024 poll showed 78% believing Q4 peaks impact B2B. The hosts noted that much of this may be self-fulfilling: B2B companies run promotions because they expect customers to want them, and customers come to expect promotions because companies run them.

How do traditional trade shows compare to holiday ecommerce?

MDM research found distribution companies are spending less on industry events and more on digital media. The hosts noted that regional and specialized events continue to grow, while broad industry events struggle unless they are very large or very focused. This shift in marketing spend affects how B2B companies approach holiday promotions and digital marketing overall.

Sources & methodology

  1. Friday 15 Podcast, Master B2B
  2. eMarketer, holiday retail projections 2024
  3. Master B2B LinkedIn poll, October 2024
  4. MDM, distribution industry event spending research
  5. IRS and SEC filings on fiscal year practices
Andy Hoar Andy Hoar
Co-Founder, Master B2B

Andy is a Co-Founder of Master B2B, founder of Paradigm B2B and author of the book Bot2Bot: The New Future of B2B Commerce. Andy is one of the leading global authorities on B2B commerce strategy.

Brian Beck Brian Beck
Co-Founder, Master B2B

Brian is a co-founder of Master B2B, Managing Partner of Amazon agency Enceiba, and author of the book "Billion Dollar B2B Ecommerce." Brian has also been C-level digital commerce executive with two decades of experience.

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